president obama at 49% among likely voters. yet mitt romney at 47% among likely voters. one thing that is helping president obama is that early vote, the overwhelming number of people who've already voted early say that they are backing president obama. mitt romney has a little bit of a better score over obama on the economy. in florida, but in ohio it's president obama with the slight edge on who would better handle the economy. >> okay, so what is the interpretation of these numbers, though. does it mean it's all about getting out there to vote? i mean, it looks like president obama has the lead with the early voting. >> he does. and actually, just look at the totality of the poll right now. these two states, ohio and florida, are perhaps the biggest electoral prizes come election night. if president obama is able to win ohio, he secures his midwest firewall, as long as he's able to win wisconsin and iowa. meanwhile, on florida, that is a must-win state for mitt romney with its 29 electoral votes. if somehow he loses that state, you can actually see president obama get